James Carrick

Global economist

James Carrick
James is a global economist with a knack for using analogies to explain economic concepts. He is a techno-optimist and an early adopter. He enjoys building models - both of the economy and robot Lego ones with his son. He also likes crunching data and chocolate bars. He joined in 2006 from the number-one ranked economics team at ABN AMRO with prior experience at HM Treasury.

Other articles by James Carrick

U-turn reduces tail risks but unlikely to stave off recession
James Carrick
Markets and economics

U-turn reduces tail risks but unlikely to stave off recession

Monday's policy reversal led to a rally in UK gilt markets. This reduces tail risks, but we belie...
By James Carrick
17 Oct 2022
2 min read
A mini-budget, or a pre-election budget in disguise?
James Carrick
Markets and economics

A mini-budget, or a pre-election budget in disguise?

Without cutting public spending, economic gains from supply-side reforms risk being swallowed by...
By James Carrick
23 Sep 2022
3 min read
Why we believe Europe is heading for recession
James Carrick
Markets and economics

Why we believe Europe is heading for recession

Surging energy prices, rising interest rates and tightening credit conditions set the scene for a...
By James Carrick
16 Aug 2022
2 min read
Fasten your seatbelts – how hard will the US economic landing be?
James Carrick
Markets and economics

Fasten your seatbelts – how hard will the US economic landing be?

Historically, around two-thirds of Fed hiking cycles have resulted in recession. We examine the...
By James Carrick
19 May 2022
3 min read
Bank of England: reaction to the latest hike from our experts
Investment strategy

Bank of England: reaction to the latest hike from our experts

We review the Bank of England's decision to increase its interest rate to 0.50% and the...
By James CarrickFiona WuIan Hutchinson
04 Feb 2022
4 min read
Bank of England decision: analysis from our experts
Investment strategy

Bank of England decision: analysis from our experts

What do our investment teams make of the Bank of England’s decision not to raise interest rates?  
By James CarrickAlex MackMitul Patel
04 Nov 2021
4 min read
UK furlough fears fading
James Carrick
Economics

UK furlough fears fading

The UK’s furlough scheme has now ended. There’s still no sign of labour-market stress in Google...
By James Carrick
14 Oct 2021
3 min read
NICs smack, gas whack, households set to groan
Economics

NICs smack, gas whack, households set to groan

Should we be concerned about a hit to UK households’ finances?  
By James CarrickChristopher Jeffery
17 Sep 2021
3 min read
When can the UK safely ease the lockdown?
James Carrick
Economics

When can the UK safely ease the lockdown?

Our analysis suggests that by prioritising people with comorbidities, the UK could be six weeks...
By James Carrick
14 Jun 2021
3 min read

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Josh Logan

Josh originally joined the team in June 2016 as an intern and saw drama from the outset, with wee...
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Matthew Rodger

Matthew is an economist covering emerging markets. He uses countries’ historical experience,...
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Aristide Goualin

Aristide Goualin

After working as a Client Manager in a previous life, Ari is now an Investment Specialist in the...
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