James Carrick

Global economist

James Carrick
James is a global economist with a knack for using analogies to explain economic concepts. He is a techno-optimist and an early adopter. He enjoys building models - both of the economy and robot Lego ones with his son. He also likes crunching data and chocolate bars. He joined in 2006 from the number-one ranked economics team at ABN AMRO with prior experience at HM Treasury.

Other articles by James Carrick

When will UK rates start to fall?
James Carrick
Markets and economics

When will UK rates start to fall?

The bank's cautious messaging following its decision to keep rates at 5.25% suggests we may not s...
By James Carrick
05 Feb 2024
2 min read
An economist’s guide to Red Sea risks
James Carrick
Economics

An economist’s guide to Red Sea risks

The recent attacks in the Red Sea are likely to disrupt the quantity as well as prices of importe...
By James Carrick
22 Jan 2024
4 min read
Autumn Statement surprise?
Markets and economics

Autumn Statement surprise?

The Chancellor delivered a modest surprise last week, using increased fiscal headroom to deliver...
By Josefine UrbanJames Carrick
27 Nov 2023
3 min read
Probing the market impact of productivity gains
ESG and long-term themes

Probing the market impact of productivity gains

We survey what AI might mean for GDP growth, corporate margins, equities and fixed income.
By James CarrickChristopher Jeffery
14 Nov 2023
3 min read
Sticky wicket
James Carrick
Economics

Sticky wicket

How the UK's worse 'inflation memory' could keep services inflation sticky and put the Bank of...
By James Carrick
21 Sep 2023
3 min read
Revising up UK GDP: What are the implications?
Economics

Revising up UK GDP: What are the implications?

Recent updates to historic data imply the UK's economic rebound following the COVID-19 pandemic w...
By James CarrickChristopher Jeffery
11 Sep 2023
3 min read
US bankruptcy surge fuels recession fears
Markets and economics

US bankruptcy surge fuels recession fears

A leading indicator suggests US corporates are already struggling under the weight of higher rate...
By James CarrickRameet Gulsin
18 Jul 2023
3 min read
Why manufacturing malaise matters
James Carrick
Economics

Why manufacturing malaise matters

Manufacturing weakness should not be ignored. Although it accounts for just 17% of advanced-econo...
By James Carrick
27 Jun 2023
3 min read
Dividing the cake: can you hear the price-wage echo?
James Carrick
Economics

Dividing the cake: can you hear the price-wage echo?

Firms and workers are fighting over a bigger share of the cake. The problem is the cake is too bi...
By James Carrick
23 May 2023
3 min read

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Chris Franklin

Chris is an Investment Specialist in the Asset Allocation team, primarily covering our...
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Tim Drayson

Tim Drayson

Tim keeps a close watch on global economic developments, with a particular focus on the US. He...
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Matthew Rodger

Matthew Rodger

Matthew is an economist covering emerging markets. He uses countries’ historical experience,...
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