Economics
Following the EU referendum, financial markets initially expected the worst, with the weakness of the pound the clearest indication of deteriorating sentiment. And yet, many saw the depreciation as an opportunity for the economy to rebalance away from consumer spending and towards more trade. With this in mind, how successful has the UK been?;
Investment strategy
Understanding how the mind can help or hinder investment success is a cornerstone of fund management and helps me in everyday life too. One of my idols, Daniel Kahneman, said the aim should be to make it part of everyday chats, so we've recorded an episode for our podcast where we try to do just that.;
Economics
After Argentina and Turkey could Brazil be the next emerging market (EM) that goes into crisis? Each of these countries currently has idiosyncratic weaknesses. In the case of Brazil, the fiscal deficit is in the spotlight, coupled with the presidential elections in October.;
Economics
The temperature's roasting and the Turkish economy is under the spotlight. With President Erdoğan fighting financial markets, the contagion is spreading fast. So which parts are overdone and are there any tempting morsels worth trying? Here are our latest thoughts from Bloomberg TV. ;
Equities
For a sector accustomed to getting headlines for its stellar growth and equity returns, the past few weeks have felt a bit different for technology companies. It's time to take stock, think about what we’ve learnt and revisit our bullish macro case for the sector. In short, however, I still like tech.;
Economics
Without adjustment on the home front, we believe that President Donald Trump's push to reduce the trade deficit is unlikely to improve the US trade balance, or boost domestic employment and growth. However, his outspoken approach and questioning of the prevailing trade system may be the very jolt that global trade negotiators need to update their thinking and move ahead with a constantly changing global economy and patterns of trade.;
Equities
Having worked as an equity strategist for well over a decade, I’ve lost count of the number of times I’ve had the debate on ‘what happens to equities when bond yields go up?’. And for most of that time bond yields were in the ice age and falling! To cut down on some future deja-vu, here's my Top 7 list of things to consider about equities when bond yields go up.;
Economics
“We trust that the government will take all the appropriate actions” – Jean-Claude Trichet. Mario Draghi. That was the sign-off for the now infamous ECB letter sent to Silvio Berlusconi’s government during the height of the European sovereign debt crisis. Nearly seven years on, Italy has once again experienced financial market turmoil and the ECB this week will no doubt be asked many questions about the situation.;
