Tim Drayson

Head of Economics

Tim Drayson
Tim keeps a close watch on global economic developments, with a particular focus on the US. He believes nothing good ever happens after midnight, which is why he is rarely spotted out late. Tim joined in 2008 from the number-one ranked economics team at ABN AMRO, with prior experience from HM Treasury, and graduated with a MSc from the University of Nottingham. When not crunching economic data, he can be found studying the weather forecast, analysing his cycling statistics or looking anxious on three-foot putts.

Other articles by Tim Drayson

The Late Late Show
Tim Drayson
Markets and economics

The Late Late Show

Recent events suggest this cycle is approaching its denouement, even if it remains uncertain how...
By Tim Drayson
16 Mar 2023
3 min read
US debt deadlock: what happens next?
Tim Drayson
Markets and economics

US debt deadlock: what happens next?

With a repeat of the 2011 US debt ceiling showdown increasingly likely, we give some answers on h...
By Tim Drayson
03 Feb 2023
4 min read
False signals or false dawns?
Tim Drayson
Markets and economics

False signals or false dawns?

Recent US GDP data have bolstered the case for an economic soft landing, but survey figures sugge...
By Tim Drayson
27 Jan 2023
3 min read
When will central banks cease tightening?
Markets and economics

When will central banks cease tightening?

Markets suggest the US has almost reached an inflection point, while the UK and Europe have furth...
By Tim DraysonJames Carrick
24 Jan 2023
3 min read
2023 outlook: bracing for another tough year
Markets and economics

2023 outlook: bracing for another tough year

We expect much of the world to slip into recession, creating a challenging backdrop for equities....
By Tim DraysonEmiel van den Heiligenberg
13 Dec 2022
4 min read
Bleak House: Our outlook for the UK
Markets and economics

Bleak House: Our outlook for the UK

The pain for the UK economy from rising mortgage rates and utility costs has only just begun. Bra...
By Tim DraysonHetal Mehta
09 Dec 2022
5 min read
The three barriers to economic growth today – and how they can be overcome
Markets and economics

The three barriers to economic growth today – and how they can be overcome

Several major factors are weighing on economic growth today. How could these problems be resolved...
By Emiel van den HeiligenbergTim Drayson
26 Oct 2022
3 min read
Peak inflation signals the beginning of the end
Tim Drayson
Markets and economics

Peak inflation signals the beginning of the end

Upside inflation surprises have weighed on markets all year, but as inflation and growth fall, so...
By Tim Drayson
20 Oct 2022
3 min read
Signposts for a soft US landing
Tim Drayson
Economics

Signposts for a soft US landing

A recession next year is our base case for the world's largest economy. However, what indicators...
By Tim Drayson
31 Aug 2022
3 min read

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