Tim Drayson

Head of Economics

Tim Drayson
Tim keeps a close watch on global economic developments, with a particular focus on the US. He believes nothing good ever happens after midnight, which is why he is rarely spotted out late. Tim joined in 2008 from the number-one ranked economics team at ABN AMRO, with prior experience from HM Treasury, and graduated with a MSc from the University of Nottingham. When not crunching economic data, he can be found studying the weather forecast, analysing his cycling statistics or looking anxious on three-foot putts.

Other articles by Tim Drayson

We are never ever getting back together
Tim Drayson
Economics

We are never ever getting back together

Excitement around a US soft landing continues to build, yet we think some of the positive news on...
By Tim Drayson
07 Sep 2023
4 min read
Chart of the month: A surge in US manufacturing investment
Tim Drayson
Markets and economics

Chart of the month: A surge in US manufacturing investment

US manufacturing investment has risen sharply in recent quarters, with a focus on domestic...
By Tim Drayson
01 Sep 2023
1 min read
US fiscal irresponsibility reaching its limit?
Tim Drayson
Markets and economics

US fiscal irresponsibility reaching its limit?

The Fitch downgrade to the US sovereign rating is largely symbolic, but it brings attention to th...
By Tim Drayson
07 Aug 2023
5 min read
Where is the US recession?
Tim Drayson
Economics

Where is the US recession?

It's the third quarter and still no recession. Has it been postponed or averted?
By Tim Drayson
31 Jul 2023
3 min read
USA: Still on track for recession?
Tim Drayson
Economics

USA: Still on track for recession?

We are approaching the point we have been expecting a US recession to begin. While so far this ha...
By Tim Drayson
16 May 2023
3 min read
The Late Late Show
Tim Drayson
Markets and economics

The Late Late Show

Recent events suggest this cycle is approaching its denouement, even if it remains uncertain how...
By Tim Drayson
16 Mar 2023
3 min read
US debt deadlock: what happens next?
Tim Drayson
Markets and economics

US debt deadlock: what happens next?

With a repeat of the 2011 US debt ceiling showdown increasingly likely, we give some answers on h...
By Tim Drayson
03 Feb 2023
4 min read
False signals or false dawns?
Tim Drayson
Markets and economics

False signals or false dawns?

Recent US GDP data have bolstered the case for an economic soft landing, but survey figures sugge...
By Tim Drayson
27 Jan 2023
3 min read
When will central banks cease tightening?
Markets and economics

When will central banks cease tightening?

Markets suggest the US has almost reached an inflection point, while the UK and Europe have furth...
By Tim DraysonJames Carrick
24 Jan 2023
3 min read

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Erik Lueth

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Matthew Rodger

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