Tim Drayson

Head of Economics

Tim Drayson
Tim keeps a close watch on global economic developments, with a particular focus on the US. He believes nothing good ever happens after midnight, which is why he is rarely spotted out late. Tim joined in 2008 from the number-one ranked economics team at ABN AMRO, with prior experience from HM Treasury, and graduated with a MSc from the University of Nottingham. When not crunching economic data, he can be found studying the weather forecast, analysing his cycling statistics or looking anxious on three-foot putts.

Other articles by Tim Drayson

The three barriers to economic growth today – and how they can be overcome
Markets and economics

The three barriers to economic growth today – and how they can be overcome

Several major factors are weighing on economic growth today. How could these problems be resolved...
By Emiel van den HeiligenbergTim Drayson
26 Oct 2022
3 min read
Peak inflation signals the beginning of the end
Tim Drayson
Markets and economics

Peak inflation signals the beginning of the end

Upside inflation surprises have weighed on markets all year, but as inflation and growth fall, so...
By Tim Drayson
20 Oct 2022
3 min read
Signposts for a soft US landing
Tim Drayson
Economics

Signposts for a soft US landing

A recession next year is our base case for the world's largest economy. However, what indicators...
By Tim Drayson
31 Aug 2022
3 min read
Purple squirrels: what are they hiding when it comes to US jobs vacancies?
Tim Drayson
Markets and economics

Purple squirrels: what are they hiding when it comes to US jobs vacancies?

According to one Fed governor, ‘purple squirrels’ (false vacancies) are distorting US job posting...
By Tim Drayson
19 Aug 2022
5 min read
Markets rally amid recession fears
Markets and economics

Markets rally amid recession fears

Maybe, just maybe, we have gone past peak pessimism and peak volatility for now. However, we...
By Emiel van den HeiligenbergTim Drayson
03 Aug 2022
3 min read
Take a hike: what will central banks do next?
Markets and economics

Take a hike: what will central banks do next?

We assess the chances of a pause in the rate-hiking cycle in the months ahead, and whether the...
By Tim DraysonWillem Klijnstra
26 Jul 2022
3 min read
Japan versus global inflation
Markets and economics

Japan versus global inflation

Numerous factors are putting upward pressure on prices in Japan, and the yen is acting as an esca...
By Tim DraysonLars KreckelChristopher Jeffery
13 Jul 2022
3 min read
Pervasive gloom: just how bad is the US outlook?
Tim Drayson
Markets and economics

Pervasive gloom: just how bad is the US outlook?

Consumer confidence is falling and market jitters around recession risks have increased. But at...
By Tim Drayson
30 Jun 2022
3 min read
US profits hold firm in first quarter – but do the data point toward an earnings crunch next year? And which data are best?
Equities

US profits hold firm in first quarter – but do the data point toward an earnings crunch next year? And which data are best?

First-quarter earnings for 2022 have so far not delivered many upsets, even if the post-pandemic...
By Tim DraysonLars Kreckel
27 Apr 2022
4 min read

Authors from the same team (32)

Josh Logan

Josh Logan

Josh originally joined the team in June 2016 as an intern and saw drama from the outset, with wee...
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Matthew Rodger

Matthew Rodger

Matthew is an economist covering emerging markets. He uses countries’ historical experience,...
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Aristide Goualin

Aristide Goualin

After working as a Client Manager in a previous life, Ari is now an Investment Specialist in the...
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