Asset allocation

What does the Bank of England have in common with Roman priests?
Economics

What does the Bank of England have in common with Roman priests?

Forecasting future inflation is exceptionally difficult, but the process can still be useful to t...

By Christopher Jeffery

13 Mar 2024

4 min read

Chart of the month: The roulette of rate cuts
Christopher Jeffery
Markets and economics

Chart of the month: The roulette of rate cuts

What is the options market saying about the probability of the Fed not cutting rates this year?
By Christopher Jeffery
06 Mar 2024
1 min read
Introducing our capital market assumptions framework
Investment strategy

Introducing our capital market assumptions framework

Photographs are a wonderful way of preserving the past, allowing us to delve into our memories to...
By Tim ArmitageMartin Dietz
04 Mar 2024
3 min read
All quarters are equal, but some are more equal than others
Christopher Jeffery
Markets and economics

All quarters are equal, but some are more equal than others

What do Nobel Prize-winning physicist Niels Bohr and baseball player Yogi Berra have in common?...
By Christopher Jeffery
28 Feb 2024
2 min read
Mind the grey swans
Markets and economics

Mind the grey swans

Rather than worrying about unpredictable possibilities, we focus our energy on events whose...

By Chris Franklin

20 Feb 2024

5 min read

Pinning the tail on the donkey
Tim Drayson
Economics

Pinning the tail on the donkey

The output gap is one of the most important concepts for macro investors. Unfortunately, it is ve...
By Tim Drayson
19 Feb 2024
3 min read
The year of the vote
Matthew Rodger
Markets and economics

The year of the vote

The year ahead brings elections for roughly two-fifths of the world's population and an equal sha...
By Matthew Rodger
15 Feb 2024
3 min read
Is the UK a spent force or a coiled spring?
Matthew Rodger
Markets and economics

Is the UK a spent force or a coiled spring?

Identifying the reasons for the UK's economic malaise is one thing. Fixing it without spending...
By Matthew Rodger
13 Feb 2024
3 min read