Late cycle (21)

The importance of risk management
Investment strategy

The importance of risk management

A recent shark-diving experience highlighted the value of preparation and a cool head when dealin...

By Emiel van den Heiligenberg

06 May 2022

4 min read

Taking stock of our bullish view
Emiel van den Heiligenberg
Investment strategy

Taking stock of our bullish view

Taking a step back from day-to-day market movements, we have reflected on our team's overall...
By Emiel van den Heiligenberg
14 Feb 2022
3 min read
Credit markets: Mid-cycle or fashionably late?
Fixed income

Credit markets: Mid-cycle or fashionably late?

As KKR bids for Telecom Italia, we ask whether credit markets have just moved ‘late cycle’.  
By Colin ReedieMadeleine King
23 Nov 2021
4 min read
Growing pains, roaring 20s, or stagflation? Revisiting our scenarios
Christopher Teschmacher
Investment strategy

Growing pains, roaring 20s, or stagflation? Revisiting our scenarios

With inflation continuing to rise and central banks beginning to act , we update our macro scenar...
By Christopher Teschmacher
19 Nov 2021
4 min read
Extending the cycle
Economics

Extending the cycle

The recent soft patch in growth and dovish shift from the Fed has made it less likely that the US...

By Tim Drayson

20 Mar 2019

3 min read

Earnings 2019: Back to normal?
Lars Kreckel
Equities

Earnings 2019: Back to normal?

A sharp slowdown in US earnings growth looks likely next year. Perhaps the more important questio...
By Lars Kreckel
28 Nov 2018
3 min read
Profit warning
Tim Drayson
Equities

Profit warning

US profits are booming, but could be set to change radically. We believe that an earnings recessi...
By Tim Drayson
09 Nov 2018
3 min read
A perfect recession indicator?
Tim Drayson
Economics

A perfect recession indicator?

The US Senior Loan Officer Survey is signalling low recession risk, but how reliable is this...
By Tim Drayson
07 Sep 2018
3 min read