Economics
Avoiding financial crises is critical when investing in emerging markets. That’s why we developed the Country Risk Model, a general health check that helps us steer clear of economies with too many imbalances and symptoms of overheating. The model provides valuable trading signals outside full-blown crises too.;
Currency
Following the recent price action in emerging markets (EM), we zero in on the effect that currency can have on your EM bond portfolio’s performance. But how much of currency investing is a watertight science, and how much is carried by the wave of popular opinion?;
Investment strategy
With a myriad of different dynamics to the rest of the fixed income world, the task of constructing an emerging market debt (EMD) portfolio can feel like an overwhelming one. In this first post of a new series on EMD investing, we examine the nuts and bolts of putting a portfolio together, and give you a peek under the bonnet of our latest thinking.;
Equities
Emerging market assets have long been a source of both potential profit and peril for investors. 2017 saw an incredible streak of capital inflows into emerging market equities, bonds and currencies. Whilst returns are still characteristically volatile, this historically maverick asset class has become more mature and resilient than ever before, as was highlighted during February's market sell-off.;
Economics
On the face of it, things don’t look good for Mexico; and that’s reflected in asset prices. Its largest trading partner has threatened to scrap a free trade agreement that's been in place for almost a quarter century. In addition, a populist is leading in the polls to replace President Peña in the July elections. But look again and you might see a country potentially on the cusp of a spectacular comeback.;
Economics
In the decades leading up to the global financial crisis (GFC), global trade grew roughly twice as fast as global output. But in the five years before 2016, trade mostly underperformed activity, prompting many to call the end of globalisation. We indulged in those discussions ourselves eighteen months ago. These calls, it seems, were premature.;
